Calasanz de Soria vs Bembibre: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Calasanz de Soria the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 1-1. If Calasanz de Soria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calasanz de Soria vs Bembibre?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Calasanz de Soria (1,724) and Bembibre (1,722).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Calasanz de Soria vs Bembibre
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Calasanz de Soria
Not enough data to predict the Calasanz de Soria lineup.
Bembibre
Not enough data to predict the Bembibre lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Calasanz de Soria have 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Bembibre have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Villaralbo(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Unionistas II(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Arandina(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
Calasanz de Soria score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 7; Bembibre score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calasanz de Soria | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
| Bembibre | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Calasanz de Soria sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (7 points from 7 matches) and Bembibre sit 4th (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bembibre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 11 | Calasanz de Soria | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Calasanz de Soria vs Bembibre?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calasanz de Soria vs Bembibre?
- The Footlab AI model makes Calasanz de Soria the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Bembibre.
- Where and when is Calasanz de Soria vs Bembibre played?
- Calasanz de Soria vs Bembibre is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026AlmazánvsGuijuelo
- Dec 20, 2026Burgos PromesasvsUnionistas II
- Dec 20, 2026Cultural Leonesa IIvsArandina
- Dec 20, 2026Mirandés IIvsColegios Diocesanos
- Dec 20, 2026Salamanca IIvsAtlético Mansillés
- Dec 20, 2026UD Santa MartavsLa Virgen del Camino
- Dec 20, 2026Palencia CFvsVillaralbo
- Dec 20, 2026TuréganovsCristo Atlético