Calasanz de Soria vs Bembibre: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Calasanz de Soria the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calasanz de Soria vs Bembibre?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Calasanz de Soria have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Bembibre have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Becerril Campos(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Arandina(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mirandés II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38 | 52 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calasanz de Soria vs Bembibre?
- The Footlab model makes Calasanz de Soria the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Bembibre.
- Where and when is Calasanz de Soria vs Bembibre played?
- Calasanz de Soria vs Bembibre is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 20, 2026Burgos PromesasvsUnionistas II
- Dec 20, 2026Cultural Leonesa IIvsArandina
- Dec 20, 2026Mirandés IIvsColegios Diocesanos
- Dec 20, 2026Salamanca IIvsAtlético Mansillés
- Dec 20, 2026UD Santa MartavsLa Virgen del Camino
- Dec 20, 2026Palencia CFvsVillaralbo
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