Match

Calasanz de Soria vs Bembibre: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Calasanz de SoriaBembibre

The Footlab model makes Calasanz de Soria the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Calasanz de Soria vs Bembibre?

Calasanz de Soria win53 %
Draw25 %
Bembibre win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Calasanz de Soria have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Bembibre have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bembibre
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Palencia CF(away)1-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Becerril Campos(home)4-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Arandina(away)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Mirandés II(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026UD Santa Marta(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Bembibre3481016385234

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Calasanz de Soria vs Bembibre?
The Footlab model makes Calasanz de Soria the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Bembibre.
Where and when is Calasanz de Soria vs Bembibre played?
Calasanz de Soria vs Bembibre is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Calasanz de Soria and Bembibre

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