Almazán vs Guijuelo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, Almazán
The Footlab model makes Almazán the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Guijuelo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almazán vs Guijuelo?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Almazán (1,765) and Guijuelo (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almazán have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Guijuelo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 1, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ribert(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Tamaraceite(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Almazán win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Guijuelo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Guijuelo 0-2 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Almazán 1-0 Guijuelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Guijuelo 3-0 Almazán | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Almazán 2-2 Guijuelo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
Almazán score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Guijuelo score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almazán | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Guijuelo | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almazán sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (48 points from 34 matches) and Guijuelo sit 2nd (70 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 26 | 70 |
| 7 | Almazán | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almazán vs Guijuelo?
- The Footlab model makes Almazán the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Guijuelo.
- Where and when is Almazán vs Guijuelo played?
- Almazán vs Guijuelo is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de la Arboleda, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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