Turégano vs Cristo Atlético: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Turégano the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Cristo Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Turégano vs Cristo Atlético?
Cristo Atlético starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,866 vs 1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Turégano have 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Cristo Atlético have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | Celta Vigo(home) | 0-4 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Santurtzi(home) | 3-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 19, 2022 | Velarde(away) | 0-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 17, 2026 | Palencia CF(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 10, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
Turégano score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 3; Cristo Atlético score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turégano | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1/3 | 2/3 |
| Cristo Atlético | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cristo Atlético | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 68 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Turégano vs Cristo Atlético?
- The Footlab model makes Turégano the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Cristo Atlético.
- Where and when is Turégano vs Cristo Atlético played?
- Turégano vs Cristo Atlético is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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