Match

Turégano vs Cristo Atlético: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

TuréganoCristo Atlético

The Footlab model makes Turégano the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Cristo Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Turégano vs Cristo Atlético?

Cristo Atlético starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,866 vs 1,738).

Turégano win42 %
Draw29 %
Cristo Atlético win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Turégano have 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Cristo Atlético have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Turégano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2023Celta Vigo(home)0-4Copa del Rey
Oct 12, 2023Santurtzi(home)3-1Copa del Rey
Oct 19, 2022Velarde(away)0-1Copa del Rey
Cristo Atlético
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Laredo(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Palencia CF(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026Palencia CF(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 10, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

How many goals should we expect?

Turégano score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 3; Cristo Atlético score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Turégano1.02.001/32/3
Cristo Atlético1.50.858/155/15

Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Cristo Atlético342158482468

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Turégano vs Cristo Atlético?
The Footlab model makes Turégano the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Cristo Atlético.
Where and when is Turégano vs Cristo Atlético played?
Turégano vs Cristo Atlético is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Turégano and Cristo Atlético

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