Palmeiras vs Gremio: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 9Kick-off on April 3, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Allianz Parque, São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Palmeiras vs Gremio?
Palmeiras won 2-1 on April 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 44′Marlon FreitasPalmeiras
- 54′Carlos ViníciusGremio
- 72′Marlon FreitasPalmeiras
Official lineup for Palmeiras vs Gremio
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Palmeiras
4-2-3-1- 42J. López
- 11J. Arias
- 18Maurício
- 40Allan
- 8Andreas Pereira
- 17Marlon Freitas
- 6Jefté
- 26Murilo
- 3Bruno Fuchs
- 4A. Giay
- 1Carlos Miguel
Gremio
4-1-4-1- 95Carlos Vinícius
- 99J. Enamorado
- 11M. Monsalve
- 5J. Nardoni
- 21Tetê
- 19E. Noriega
- 54Pedro Gabriel
- 44Viery
- 6Gustavo Martins
- 7C. Pavón
- 1Weverton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palmeiras have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Gremio have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Mirassol(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Novorizontino(away) | 2-1 | Paulista - A1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Vitoria(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Mar 13, 2026 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Internacional(away) | 1-1 | Gaúcho - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Palmeiras wins, 1 draw, 2 Gremio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | Gremio 3-2 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Palmeiras 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Palmeiras 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 4, 2024 | Gremio 2-2 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Gremio 1-0 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| May 11, 2023 | Palmeiras 4-1 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Palmeiras score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | 1.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Gremio | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palmeiras sit 2nd in Serie A (66 points from 31 matches) and Gremio sit 18th (31 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 54 | 22 | 66 |
| 18 | Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 44 | 31 |
A question about Palmeiras vs Gremio?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy