Geita Gold vs Mashujaa: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraMatchday 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Nyankumbu Stadium, Geita
The Footlab AI model makes Geita Gold the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Mashujaa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Geita Gold wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,201 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geita Gold vs Mashujaa?
On Elo ratings, Geita Gold has 1,518 points and Mashujaa 1,622.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Geita Gold vs Mashujaa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Geita Gold
4-3-3- 33M. I. Kassim
- 39F. Ngoye
- 68R. Mohamed
- 31Yusufu Valentine Mhilu
- 13A. Yassin
- 23N. Kaboma
- 14C. Tebandeke
- 20T. Muhenga
- 3P. Datius
- 45S. Athuman
- 50E. Mwakyusa
Mashujaa
4-3-3- 7C. Mhagama
- 45Michael Joseph
- 17M. Vuai
- 27S. Madeleke
- 6B. Mtuwi
- 54H. Lidah
- 13S. Mgandila
- 3H. Lyawatwa
- 20M. Mwakinyuke
- 4S. Onditi
- 43M. Malik
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 09:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geita Gold have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Mashujaa have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 0-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Simba(away) | 1-6 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Geita Gold wins, 1 draw, 1 Mashujaa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | Geita Gold 1-3 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Mashujaa 0-0 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Geita Gold vs Mashujaa on Feb 25, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Geita Gold score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mashujaa score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geita Gold | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Mashujaa | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geita Gold sit 13th in Ligi kuu Bara (9 points from 11 matches) and Mashujaa sit 8th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mashujaa | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 15 |
| 13 | Geita Gold | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 9 |
A question about Geita Gold vs Mashujaa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geita Gold vs Mashujaa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Geita Gold the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Mashujaa.
- Where and when is Geita Gold vs Mashujaa played?
- Geita Gold vs Mashujaa is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Nyankumbu Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.