Polisi Tanzania vs Young Africans: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jamhuri Stadium Morogoro, Morogoro
The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Polisi Tanzania. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polisi Tanzania vs Young Africans?
Young Africans is a heavy favourite: 1,973 Elo points against 1,490, a 483-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polisi Tanzania have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Young Africans have 13, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Azam(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Tanzania Prisons(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 9, 2023 | Azam(away) | 0-8 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 4-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Coastal Union(home) | 4-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 3-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Polisi Tanzania win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Young Africans win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022 | Young Africans 3-0 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2022 | Polisi Tanzania 1-2 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 22, 2022 | Young Africans 2-0 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Polisi Tanzania 0-1 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Polisi Tanzania 1-1 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 22, 2020 | Young Africans 1-0 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Young Africans vs Polisi Tanzania on Dec 17, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Polisi Tanzania score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Young Africans score 2.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polisi Tanzania | 1.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Young Africans | 2.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polisi Tanzania sit 3rd in Ligi kuu Bara (7 points from 3 matches) and Young Africans sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Polisi Tanzania | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polisi Tanzania vs Young Africans?
- The Footlab model makes Young Africans the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Polisi Tanzania.
- Where and when is Polisi Tanzania vs Young Africans played?
- Polisi Tanzania vs Young Africans is played on November 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jamhuri Stadium Morogoro, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.