Namungo vs Mbeya City: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Majaliwa Stadium, Ruangwa
The Footlab AI model makes Namungo the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Mbeya City. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Namungo vs Mbeya City?
On Elo ratings, Namungo has 1,582 points and Mbeya City 1,537.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Namungo vs Mbeya City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Namungo
4-3-3- 23H. Lukindo
- 11R. Chambo
- 21G. Matiko
- 12H. Swalehe
- 6G. Rogers
- 22N. Kapama
- 25J. Shemvuni
- 5F. Magingi
- 6S. Nsajigwa
- 50H. Msati
- 18A. Suleiman
Mbeya City
4-3-3- 10E. Ambokile
- 49O. Mwajanga
- 22V. Mayanga
- 21J. Mwanuke
- 20H. Haji
- 32O. Abdallah
- 26A. Buha
- 14Nassor Mbarouk
- 5Y. Seleman Mbegu
- 4K. Pillar
- 31T. Reuben
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Namungo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Mbeya City have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Azam(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 2-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 29, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Namungo wins, 2 draws, 1 Mbeya City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | Namungo 1-1 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Mbeya City 0-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Namungo 2-1 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 4, 2022 | Mbeya City 2-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 29, 2022 | Mbeya City 1-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 21, 2022 | Namungo 2-0 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Namungo vs Mbeya City on May 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Namungo score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mbeya City score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Namungo | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Mbeya City | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Namungo sit 11th in Ligi kuu Bara (9 points from 8 matches) and Mbeya City sit 9th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mbeya City | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Namungo vs Mbeya City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Namungo vs Mbeya City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Namungo the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Mbeya City.
- Where and when is Namungo vs Mbeya City played?
- Namungo vs Mbeya City is played on November 20, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Majaliwa Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.