Where and when is Tenerife C vs Estrella played?

Tenerife C vs Estrella is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tenerife C vs Estrella: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Tenerife C

Estrella

The Footlab model makes Tenerife C the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Estrella. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tenerife C vs Estrella?

Tenerife C starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,742 vs 1,598).

Tenerife C win55 %

Draw25 %

Estrella win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tenerife C have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Estrella have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tenerife C
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	San Bartolomé(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	UD San Fernando(away)	0-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Arucas(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	Villa Santa Brígida(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026	Unión Sur Yaiza(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Estrella
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Herbania(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 4, 2025	San Bartolomé(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2025	Santa Úrsula(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 17, 2025	Buzanada(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2025	Marino(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

How many goals should we expect?

Tenerife C score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Estrella score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tenerife C	1.0	1.7	2	6/15	7/15
Estrella	0.9	1.0	5	7/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Tenerife C	34	14	10	10	49	46	52

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tenerife C vs Estrella?: The Footlab model makes Tenerife C the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Estrella.
Where and when is Tenerife C vs Estrella played?: Tenerife C vs Estrella is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.