San Bartolomé vs Real Unión de Tenerife: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, San Bartolomé
The Footlab model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Real Unión de Tenerife. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Bartolomé vs Real Unión de Tenerife?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate San Bartolomé (1,707) and Real Unión de Tenerife (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Bartolomé have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Real Unión de Tenerife have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Tenerife C(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lanzarote(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Arucas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Herbania(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 San Bartolomé win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Real Unión de Tenerife win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife 4-2 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | San Bartolomé 1-0 Real Unión de Tenerife | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Real Unión de Tenerife vs San Bartolomé on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Bartolomé score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Unión de Tenerife score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Bartolomé | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Unión de Tenerife | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Bartolomé sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (36 points from 34 matches) and Real Unión de Tenerife sit 10th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Real Unión de Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 32 | 45 |
| 14 | San Bartolomé | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30 | 55 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Bartolomé vs Real Unión de Tenerife?
- The Footlab model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Real Unión de Tenerife.
- Where and when is San Bartolomé vs Real Unión de Tenerife played?
- San Bartolomé vs Real Unión de Tenerife is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026MensajerovsLanzarote
- Dec 20, 2026San Fernando CDvsLos Llanos
- Dec 20, 2026Las Palmas IIIvsMarino
- Dec 20, 2026Panadería PulidovsVilla Santa Brígida
- Dec 20, 2026Tenerife CvsEstrella
- Dec 20, 2026San MiguelvsPlayas Sotavento
- Dec 20, 2026AnazavsUnión Sur Yaiza
- Dec 20, 2026Villaverde NortevsLaguna de Duero