Match

San Bartolomé vs Real Unión de Tenerife: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, San Bartolomé

San BartoloméReal Unión de Tenerife

The Footlab model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Real Unión de Tenerife. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Bartolomé vs Real Unión de Tenerife?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate San Bartolomé (1,707) and Real Unión de Tenerife (1,753).

San Bartolomé win37 %
Draw32 %
Real Unión de Tenerife win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Bartolomé have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Real Unión de Tenerife have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Bartolomé
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Tenerife C(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026Lanzarote(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026UD San Fernando(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026Arucas(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026Villa Santa Brígida(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Real Unión de Tenerife
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Lanzarote(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026Tamaraceite(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026Herbania(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026Las Palmas III(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026Panadería Pulido(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 San Bartolomé win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Real Unión de Tenerife win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Real Unión de Tenerife 4-2 San BartoloméTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 25, 2025San Bartolomé 1-0 Real Unión de TenerifeTercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Real Unión de Tenerife vs San Bartolomé on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

San Bartolomé score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Unión de Tenerife score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
San Bartolomé1.11.357/157/15
Real Unión de Tenerife1.00.763/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

San Bartolomé sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (36 points from 34 matches) and Real Unión de Tenerife sit 10th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Real Unión de Tenerife3412913343245
14San Bartolomé3481214305536

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Bartolomé vs Real Unión de Tenerife?
The Footlab model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Real Unión de Tenerife.
Where and when is San Bartolomé vs Real Unión de Tenerife played?
San Bartolomé vs Real Unión de Tenerife is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: San Bartolomé and Real Unión de Tenerife

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