San Miguel vs Playas Sotavento: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes San Miguel the favourite at 83%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Playas Sotavento. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,094 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Miguel vs Playas Sotavento?
San Miguel starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,779 vs 1,636).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Miguel vs Playas Sotavento
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Miguel
Not enough data to predict the San Miguel lineup.
Playas Sotavento
Not enough data to predict the Playas Sotavento lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 06:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Miguel have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Playas Sotavento have 0, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Estrella(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
San Miguel score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Playas Sotavento score 0.7 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Miguel | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Playas Sotavento | 0.7 | 2.4 | 0 | 7/11 | 5/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Miguel sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (22 points from 10 matches) and Playas Sotavento sit 17th (4 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | San Miguel | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 22 |
| 17 | Playas Sotavento | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 4 |
A question about San Miguel vs Playas Sotavento?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Miguel vs Playas Sotavento?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Miguel the favourite at 83%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Playas Sotavento.
- Where and when is San Miguel vs Playas Sotavento played?
- San Miguel vs Playas Sotavento is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026MensajerovsLanzarote
- Dec 20, 2026San Fernando CDvsLos Llanos
- Dec 20, 2026Las Palmas IIIvsMarino
- Dec 20, 2026Panadería PulidovsVilla Santa Brígida
- Dec 20, 2026San BartolomévsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Dec 20, 2026Tenerife CvsEstrella
- Dec 20, 2026AnazavsUnión Sur Yaiza
- Dec 20, 2026Villaverde NortevsLaguna de Duero