Panama vs Curaçao: prediction and stats
CONCACAF Nations LeagueQuarter-finalsKick-off on November 15, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Rommel Fernández, Panama City
The Footlab AI model makes Panama the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Curaçao. The most likely score is 1-1. If Panama wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,590 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panama vs Curaçao?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Panama (1,669) and Curaçao (1,604).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Panama vs Curaçao
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Panama
3-4-2-1- 18J. Y. Vergara Ortega
- 7J. Rodríguez
- 14C. Harvey
- 8A. Carrasquilla
- 6Cristian Jesús Martínez
- 5V. Griffith
- 26A. Herbert
- 2C. Blackman
- 23A. Murillo
- 15J. Gutiérrez
- 12E. Roberts
Curaçao
4-2-3-1- 7J. Bacuna
- 8L. Comenencia
- 15A. Martha
- 6G. Roemeratoe
- 6N. Souren
- 22K. Felida
- 10L. Bacuna
- 5S. Floranus
- 3J. Gaari
- 2S. Sambo
- 1E. Room
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 01:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panama have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Curaçao have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Ecuador(away) | 1-1 | Kirin Cup |
| Oct 1, 2026 | New Zealand(home) | 1-1 | Kirin Cup |
| Sep 25, 2026 | India(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 27, 2026 | England(home) | 0-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Croatia(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Trinidad and Tobago(away) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Nicaragua(home) | 6-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Costa Rica(away) | 4-3 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Ivory Coast(home) | 0-2 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Panama wins, 1 draw, 0 Curaçao wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2023 | Curaçao 1-2 Panama | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 16, 2021 | Curaçao 0-0 Panama | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jun 12, 2021 | Panama 2-1 Curaçao | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
How many goals should we expect?
Panama score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Curaçao score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panama | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
| Curaçao | 1.9 | 1.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Panama vs Curaçao?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panama vs Curaçao?
- The Footlab AI model makes Panama the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Curaçao.
- Where and when is Panama vs Curaçao played?
- Panama vs Curaçao is played on November 15, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Rommel Fernández, in the CONCACAF Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.