Panathinaikos vs Brighton: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 6Kick-off on December 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis, Athína (Athens)
The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Panathinaikos. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brighton wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,783 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panathinaikos vs Brighton?
Brighton starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (2,311 vs 2,158).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Panathinaikos vs Brighton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Panathinaikos
4-2-3-1- 9C. Dessers
- 10Santino Andino
- 21A. Ounahi
- 42K. Kangwa
- 22E. Camara
- 20V. Taborda
- 6S. de Vrij
- 55R. van Drongelen
- 2D. Calabria
- 77G. Kiriakopoulos
- 1Iñaki Peña
Brighton
4-2-3-1- 19C. Kostoulas
- 13P. Groß
- 35M. Yalcouyé
- 29M. De Cuyper
- 25D. Gómez
- 26Y. Ayari
- 21O. Boscagli
- 5L. Dunk
- 44L. Vušković
- 20Costinha
- 1B. Verbruggen
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panathinaikos have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Brighton have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 5-1 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Borac Banja Luka(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kalamata(away) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kifisia(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Panathinaikos score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 2.1 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Brighton | 2.8 | 0.9 | 10 | 4/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Panathinaikos sit 11th in UEFA Europa Conference League (3 points from 1 match) and Brighton sit 1st (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Panathinaikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Panathinaikos vs Brighton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panathinaikos vs Brighton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Panathinaikos.
- Where and when is Panathinaikos vs Brighton played?
- Panathinaikos vs Brighton is played on December 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.