Match

Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT: prediction and stats

ChampionshipRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir

StenhousemuirInverness CT

The Footlab AI model makes Stenhousemuir the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Inverness CT. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stenhousemuir wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,886 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Stenhousemuir (1,735) and Inverness CT (1,765).

40%29%31%
Stenhousemuir winDrawInverness CT win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Stenhousemuir

3-4-3
  1. 20G. Stevenson
  2. 11L. O'Donnell
  3. 15D. Carrick
  1. 17M. Anderson
  2. 7E. O'Reilly
  3. 2R. Meechan
  4. 10A. Shinnie
  1. 19S. Bright
  2. 24L. Grant
  3. 5S. Young
  1. 1D. Jamieson

Inverness CT

4-2-3-1
  1. 9L. Stewart
  1. 7P. Allan
  2. 35A. Stewart
  3. 17L. Sole
  4. 8A. Mackinnon
  5. 26R. MacGregor
  1. 4G. Shinnie
  2. 5Remmi Eugene Savage
  3. 2C. Macleod
  4. 15K. Smith
  1. 1R. Munro

Computed on October 30, 2026 at 12:09 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stenhousemuir have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Inverness CT have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stenhousemuir
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 27, 2026Dunfermline(home)0-1Championship
Oct 24, 2026Partick(away)0-3Championship
Oct 17, 2026Raith Rovers(home)1-1Championship
Oct 10, 2026Inverness CT(away)0-2Championship
Sep 25, 2026Ayr Utd(away)1-0Championship
Inverness CT
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Raith Rovers(away)2-0Championship
Oct 17, 2026Arbroath(home)2-0Championship
Oct 13, 2026Queen's Park(away)1-2Championship
Oct 10, 2026Stenhousemuir(home)2-0Championship
Sep 25, 2026Morton(home)2-0Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stenhousemuir wins, 2 draws, 2 Inverness CT wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Inverness CT 2-0 StenhousemuirChampionship
Aug 29, 2026Stenhousemuir 3-1 Inverness CTChampionship
Apr 11, 2026Stenhousemuir 1-1 Inverness CTLeague One
Feb 21, 2026Inverness CT 1-1 StenhousemuirLeague One
Jan 27, 2026Inverness CT 1-0 StenhousemuirChallenge Cup
Dec 20, 2025Stenhousemuir 1-0 Inverness CTLeague One

Last archived meeting: Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir on Oct 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stenhousemuir score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Inverness CT score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stenhousemuir0.90.883/153/15
Inverness CT1.31.186/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stenhousemuir sit 2nd in Championship (23 points from 12 matches) and Inverness CT sit 5th (19 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Stenhousemuir1272313923
5Inverness CT12543161119

A question about Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?
The Footlab AI model makes Stenhousemuir the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Inverness CT.
Where and when is Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT played?
Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ochilview Park, in the Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Stenhousemuir and Inverness CT

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