Livingston vs Dunfermline: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tony Macaroni Arena, Livingston
The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Dunfermline. The most likely score is 1-1. If Livingston wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,718 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Livingston vs Dunfermline?
On Elo ratings, Livingston has 1,737 points and Dunfermline 1,732.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Livingston vs Dunfermline
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Livingston
4-3-3- 9R. Muirhead
- 19B. van Hoeven
- 7T. Sinclair
- 20E. Danso
- 8S. Pittman
- 16C. Palmer
- 23Brooklyn Kabongolo
- 22J. Doherty
- 5R. McGowan
- 26C. Montaño
- 28J. Prior
Dunfermline
3-4-3- 26A. Tod
- 99O. Adams
- 33J. Cooper
- 47R. Fraser
- 14A. Amade
- 24D. Lobban
- 19Allan Oyirwoth
- 6N. Abdulai
- 15S. Harding
- 25A. Donnelly
- 1A. Oxborough
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Livingston have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Dunfermline have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Partick(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ayr Utd(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Raith Rovers(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ayr Utd(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Morton(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Livingston wins, 2 draws, 2 Dunfermline wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dunfermline 0-0 Livingston | Championship |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Livingston 2-0 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Dunfermline 1-0 Livingston | Championship |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Livingston 0-0 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Dunfermline 0-2 Livingston | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Dunfermline 3-0 Livingston | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Dunfermline vs Livingston on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Livingston score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dunfermline score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livingston | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Dunfermline | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Livingston sit 5th in Championship (14 points from 11 matches) and Dunfermline sit 6th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Livingston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | Dunfermline | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 14 |
A question about Livingston vs Dunfermline?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Livingston vs Dunfermline?
- The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Dunfermline.
- Where and when is Livingston vs Dunfermline played?
- Livingston vs Dunfermline is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tony Macaroni Arena, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.