Pelikan Łowicz vs Olimpia Elbląg: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pelikan, Łowicz
The Footlab model makes Pelikan Łowicz the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pelikan Łowicz vs Olimpia Elbląg?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Pelikan Łowicz (1,654) and Olimpia Elbląg (1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pelikan Łowicz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Olimpia Elbląg have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Pelikan Łowicz score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelikan Łowicz | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Olimpia Elbląg | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pelikan Łowicz sit 4th in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pelikan Łowicz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Olimpia Elbląg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pelikan Łowicz vs Olimpia Elbląg?
- The Footlab model makes Pelikan Łowicz the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Olimpia Elbląg.
- Where and when is Pelikan Łowicz vs Olimpia Elbląg played?
- Pelikan Łowicz vs Olimpia Elbląg is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pelikan, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsOlimpia Zambrów
- Apr 3, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Apr 3, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsWisła Płock II
- Apr 3, 2027Mławianka MławavsJagiellonia II
- Apr 3, 2027Warta SieradzvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Apr 3, 2027ŁomżavsTroszyn
- Apr 3, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsWidzew II
- Apr 3, 2027WeszlovsSwit