Match

Pelikan Łowicz vs Olimpia Elbląg: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pelikan, Łowicz

Pelikan ŁowiczOlimpia Elbląg

The Footlab model makes Pelikan Łowicz the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pelikan Łowicz vs Olimpia Elbląg?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Pelikan Łowicz (1,654) and Olimpia Elbląg (1,637).

Pelikan Łowicz win47 %
Draw24 %
Olimpia Elbląg win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pelikan Łowicz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Olimpia Elbląg have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pelikan Łowicz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Troszyn(home)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Jagiellonia II(away)0-3III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026ŁKS Łódź II(home)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Mławianka Mława(away)1-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Łomża(home)3-2III Liga - Group 1
Olimpia Elbląg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)2-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Widzew II(home)0-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Olimpia Zambrów(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home)4-2III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Wisła Płock II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Pelikan Łowicz score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pelikan Łowicz1.11.7210/159/15
Olimpia Elbląg1.11.9111/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pelikan Łowicz sit 4th in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Pelikan Łowicz53117710
11Olimpia Elbląg5212997

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pelikan Łowicz vs Olimpia Elbląg?
The Footlab model makes Pelikan Łowicz the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Olimpia Elbląg.
Where and when is Pelikan Łowicz vs Olimpia Elbląg played?
Pelikan Łowicz vs Olimpia Elbląg is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pelikan, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pelikan Łowicz and Olimpia Elbląg

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