Łomża vs Troszyn: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Łomża
The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Troszyn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Łomża vs Troszyn?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Łomża (1,842) and Troszyn (1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Łomża have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Troszyn have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Łomża win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Troszyn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Troszyn 0-2 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Łomża 2-3 Troszyn | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Łomża | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Troszyn | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Łomża sit 15th in III Liga - Group 1 (2 points from 5 matches) and Troszyn sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Łomża | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Łomża vs Troszyn?
- The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Troszyn.
- Where and when is Łomża vs Troszyn played?
- Łomża vs Troszyn is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsOlimpia Zambrów
- Apr 3, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Apr 3, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Apr 3, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsWisła Płock II
- Apr 3, 2027Mławianka MławavsJagiellonia II
- Apr 3, 2027Warta SieradzvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Apr 3, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsWidzew II
- Apr 3, 2027WeszlovsSwit