Match

Łomża vs Troszyn: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Łomża

ŁomżaTroszyn

The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Troszyn. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Łomża vs Troszyn?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Łomża (1,842) and Troszyn (1,748).

Łomża win55 %
Draw23 %
Troszyn win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Łomża have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Troszyn have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Łomża
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Mławianka Mława(home)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Wisła Płock II(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away)2-5III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Weszlo(home)0-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(away)2-3III Liga - Group 1
Troszyn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Warta Sieradz(home)1-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Wigry Suwałki(away)0-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home)1-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026Widzew II(away)1-5III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Łomża win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Troszyn win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Troszyn 0-2 ŁomżaIII Liga - Group 1
Nov 8, 2025Łomża 2-3 TroszynIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Troszyn vs Łomża on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Łomża1.71.358/158/15
Troszyn1.31.8210/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Łomża sit 15th in III Liga - Group 1 (2 points from 5 matches) and Troszyn sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Łomża50235102
17Troszyn50144151

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Łomża vs Troszyn?
The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Troszyn.
Where and when is Łomża vs Troszyn played?
Łomża vs Troszyn is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Łomża and Troszyn

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