Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Widzew II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Widzew II?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (1,752) and Widzew II (1,801).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Widzew II have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Swit(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Troszyn(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 6; Widzew II score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0 | 6/6 | 6/6 |
| Widzew II | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Widzew II sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Widzew II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Widzew II?
- The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.
- Where and when is Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Widzew II played?
- Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Widzew II is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsOlimpia Zambrów
- Apr 3, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Apr 3, 2027Lechia T. MazowieckivsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Apr 3, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsWisła Płock II
- Apr 3, 2027Mławianka MławavsJagiellonia II
- Apr 3, 2027Warta SieradzvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Apr 3, 2027ŁomżavsTroszyn
- Apr 3, 2027WeszlovsSwit