Match

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Widzew II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Mazovia Minsk MazowieckiWidzew II

The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Widzew II?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (1,752) and Widzew II (1,801).

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win33 %
Draw22 %
Widzew II win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Widzew II have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(home)2-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Swit(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)3-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Troszyn(away)4-1III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Jagiellonia II(home)2-3III Liga - Group 1
Widzew II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home)4-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(away)2-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Swit(home)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(away)0-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026Troszyn(home)5-1III Liga - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 6; Widzew II score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki2.31.806/66/6
Widzew II2.21.157/1510/15

Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Widzew II sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Widzew II531111310
3Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki531113910

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Widzew II?
The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.
Where and when is Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Widzew II played?
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Widzew II is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki and Widzew II

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