Olimpia Elbląg vs Weszlo: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Elbląg
The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpia Elbląg vs Weszlo?
Weszlo starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,798 vs 1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Elbląg have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Weszlo have 5, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Weszlo score 2.8 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Elbląg | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Weszlo | 2.8 | 0.4 | 3 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Weszlo sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Olimpia Elbląg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpia Elbląg vs Weszlo?
- The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Olimpia Elbląg.
- Where and when is Olimpia Elbląg vs Weszlo played?
- Olimpia Elbląg vs Weszlo is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsWarta Sieradz
- Apr 10, 2027SwitvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Apr 10, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsŁKS Łódź II
- Apr 10, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Apr 10, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsPelikan Łowicz
- Apr 10, 2027TroszynvsMławianka Mława
- Apr 10, 2027Widzew IIvsWigry Suwałki
- Apr 10, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsŁomża