Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Ząbkovia Ząbki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Braci Gadajów, Tomaszów Mazowiecki
The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Ząbkovia Ząbki. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Ząbkovia Ząbki?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Lechia T. Mazowiecki (1,758) and Ząbkovia Ząbki (1,701).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ząbkovia Ząbki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 2-1 Ząbkovia Ząbki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Ząbkovia Ząbki 2-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Ząbkovia Ząbki on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Ząbkovia Ząbki | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 5th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Ząbkovia Ząbki?
- The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Ząbkovia Ząbki.
- Where and when is Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Ząbkovia Ząbki played?
- Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Ząbkovia Ząbki is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Braci Gadajów, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsOlimpia Zambrów
- Apr 3, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Apr 3, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsWisła Płock II
- Apr 3, 2027Mławianka MławavsJagiellonia II
- Apr 3, 2027Warta SieradzvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Apr 3, 2027ŁomżavsTroszyn
- Apr 3, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsWidzew II
- Apr 3, 2027WeszlovsSwit