Penycae vs Dolgellau Athletic: prediction and stats
Welsh CupRound of 64Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Afoneitha Road, Penycae
The Footlab AI model makes Penycae the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Dolgellau Athletic. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penycae vs Dolgellau Athletic?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Penycae (1,552) and Dolgellau Athletic (1,598).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Penycae vs Dolgellau Athletic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Penycae
Not enough data to predict the Penycae lineup.
Dolgellau Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Dolgellau Athletic lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Penycae have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Dolgellau Athletic have 2, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2023 | Rhos Aelwyd(home) | 1-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Guilsfield(home) | 1-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Trearddur Bay(away) | 5-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Bangor City 1876 FC(away) | 0-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Airbus UK(home) | 0-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Caersws(away) | 1-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Queens Park(home) | 8-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 19, 2018 | Cefn Albion(away) | 1-7 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Penycae score 1.6 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 10; Dolgellau Athletic score 2.5 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penycae | 1.6 | 3.0 | 1 | 6/10 | 8/10 |
| Dolgellau Athletic | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
A question about Penycae vs Dolgellau Athletic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penycae vs Dolgellau Athletic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Penycae the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Dolgellau Athletic.
- Where and when is Penycae vs Dolgellau Athletic played?
- Penycae vs Dolgellau Athletic is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Afoneitha Road, in the Welsh Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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