Home United vs Persib Bandung: prediction and stats
ASEAN Club ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on December 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Bishan Stadium, Singapore
The Footlab model makes Home United the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Persib Bandung. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Home United vs Persib Bandung?
Persib Bandung starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,971 vs 1,809).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Home United have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Persib Bandung have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Albirex Niigata S(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Geylang International(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Young Lions(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bali United(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(home) | 1-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persija(home) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Home United win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Persib Bandung win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | Home United 3-2 Persib Bandung | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Persib Bandung 1-1 Home United | AFC Champions League Two |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Home United 2-3 Persib Bandung | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Persib Bandung 1-1 Home United | AFC Champions League Two |
Last archived meeting: Home United vs Persib Bandung on Nov 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Home United score 2.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Persib Bandung score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home United | 2.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Persib Bandung | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Home United | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Home United vs Persib Bandung?
- The Footlab model makes Home United the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Persib Bandung.
- Where and when is Home United vs Persib Bandung played?
- Home United vs Persib Bandung is played on December 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Bishan Stadium, in the ASEAN Club Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 7, 2026RatchaburivsHo Chi Minh
- Oct 7, 2026Buriram UnitedvsPusamania Borneo
- Oct 8, 2026Johor Darul Takzim FCvsSvay Rieng
- Oct 8, 2026Port FCvsPersib Bandung
- Oct 8, 2026Home UnitedvsCông An Nhân Dân
- Nov 18, 2026Tampines RoversvsRatchaburi
- Nov 18, 2026Ho Chi MinhvsBuriram United