Perth Glory vs Adelaide United: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)HBF Park, Perth
The Footlab AI model makes Adelaide United the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Perth Glory. The most likely score is 1-1. If Adelaide United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Perth Glory vs Adelaide United?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Perth Glory (1,708) and Adelaide United (1,804).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Perth Glory vs Adelaide United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Perth Glory
4-1-4-1- 22A. Taggart
- 13H. Hore
- 16Lucas Scicluna
- 7N. Pennington
- 27W. Freney
- 9J. Kucharski
- 45B. Kaltak
- 24A. Lebib
- 4S. Wootton
- 3S. Sutton
- 33M. Sutton
Adelaide United
4-3-3- 87Anselmo
- 35Brody Burkitt
- 99A. Riak
- 12J. Yull
- 55E. Alagich
- 10Juan Muñiz
- 14J. Barnett
- 3B. Vriends
- 4P. Kikianis
- 62F. Talladira
- 22J. Smits
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 01:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Perth Glory have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Adelaide United have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lions(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sydney(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 3-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Công An Nhân Dân(home) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jul 30, 2026 | South Melbourne(away) | 1-2 | Australia Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Perth Glory wins, 1 draw, 3 Adelaide United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Perth Glory 1-3 Adelaide United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Perth Glory 2-0 Adelaide United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Adelaide United 4-0 Perth Glory | A-League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Perth Glory 0-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Perth Glory 4-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Adelaide United 2-2 Perth Glory | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Perth Glory vs Adelaide United on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Perth Glory score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Adelaide United score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Adelaide United | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Perth Glory sit 10th in A-League (31 points from 26 matches) and Adelaide United sit 2nd (43 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Adelaide United | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46 | 36 | 43 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 39 | 31 |
A question about Perth Glory vs Adelaide United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Perth Glory vs Adelaide United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Adelaide United the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Perth Glory.
- Where and when is Perth Glory vs Adelaide United played?
- Perth Glory vs Adelaide United is played on November 1, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at HBF Park, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.