Melbourne City vs Sydney: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC)AAMI Park, Melbourne
The Footlab AI model makes Sydney the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Melbourne City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sydney wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Melbourne City vs Sydney?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Melbourne City (1,884) and Sydney (1,902).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Melbourne City vs Sydney
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Melbourne City
4-3-3- 17M. Caputo
- 35M. Memeti
- 15A. Nabbout
- 14Besian Kutleshi
- 24Kavian Rahmani
- 41L. Wong
- 13N. Atkinson
- 2H. Delbridge
- 22P. Antoniou
- 4L. Bonetig
- 40J. Nieuwenhuizen
Sydney
4-2-3-1- 9O. Sunday
- 20T. Quintal
- 14T. Sekine
- 15J. Hollman
- 36R. Youlley
- 35A. Toure
- 23R. Grant
- 17B. Garuccio
- 4J. Courtney-Perkins
- 41A. Popovic
- 12Harrison Devenish-Meares
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melbourne City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sydney have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lions(away) | 0-2 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Weston Bears(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| May 2, 2026 | Auckland(away) | 1-1 | A-League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Adelaide United(home) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 0-2 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 18, 2026 | SD Raiders(away) | 1-0 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Brisbane Roar(away) | 4-2 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Melbourne City wins, 2 draws, 0 Sydney wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Sydney 0-1 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Melbourne City 0-0 Sydney | A-League |
| May 3, 2025 | Melbourne City 5-1 Sydney | A-League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Sydney 2-3 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Sydney 1-1 Melbourne City | A-League |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Melbourne City 2-0 Sydney | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Sydney vs Melbourne City on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Melbourne City score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sydney score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sydney | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Melbourne City sit 6th in A-League (38 points from 26 matches) and Sydney sit 5th (39 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sydney | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 25 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 38 |
A question about Melbourne City vs Sydney?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Melbourne City vs Sydney?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sydney the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Melbourne City.
- Where and when is Melbourne City vs Sydney played?
- Melbourne City vs Sydney is played on October 31, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC) at AAMI Park, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.