Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers: prediction and stats
A-LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 08:40 AM (UTC)Campbelltown Sports Stadium, Sydney
The Footlab model makes Macarthur the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Western Sydney Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Macarthur (1,809) and Western Sydney Wanderers (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macarthur have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Western Sydney Wanderers have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | SD Raiders(away) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Uni Azzurri(away) | 3-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix(home) | 4-0 | A-League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Adelaide United(away) | 1-3 | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Perth Glory(away) | 1-3 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 4-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Cooma Tigers FC(away) | 2-0 | Australia Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 0-2 | A-League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Wellington Phoenix(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Macarthur win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Western Sydney Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Macarthur 0-4 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 Macarthur | A-League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Macarthur 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| May 3, 2025 | Macarthur 1-3 Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 Macarthur | A-League |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Western Sydney Wanderers 2-3 Macarthur | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Macarthur score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Western Sydney Wanderers score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macarthur | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Macarthur sit 7th in A-League (34 points from 26 matches) and Western Sydney Wanderers sit 12th (21 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37 | 44 | 34 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 43 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Macarthur the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Western Sydney Wanderers.
- Where and when is Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers played?
- Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers is played on October 31, 2026 at 08:40 AM (UTC) at Campbelltown Sports Stadium, in the A-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.