Match

Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań

Lech PoznanWisla Plock

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Wisla Plock. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock?

Lech Poznan starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (2,141 vs 1,918).

Lech Poznan win68 %
Draw19 %
Wisla Plock win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznan have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Wisla Plock have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lech Poznan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026FC Thun(home)7-0UEFA Europa League
Aug 14, 2026KI Klaksvik(away)5-0UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026Piast Gliwice(home)3-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026KI Klaksvik(home)1-0UEFA Europa League
Aug 1, 2026Wieczysta Kraków(away)2-1Ekstraklasa
Wisla Plock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026GKS Katowice(away)0-5Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026Wisla Krakow(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Widzew Łódź(home)0-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Raków Częstochowa(away)2-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 22, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lech Poznan win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Wisla Plock win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Lech Poznan 2-2 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
Nov 30, 2025Wisla Plock 0-0 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa
Feb 11, 2023Wisla Plock 0-1 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa
Jul 31, 2022Lech Poznan 1-3 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
Apr 16, 2022Wisla Plock 0-1 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa
Oct 22, 2021Lech Poznan 4-1 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lech Poznan score 2.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lech Poznan2.60.777/1511/15
Wisla Plock1.31.646/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lech Poznan sit 4th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 3 matches) and Wisla Plock sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Lech Poznan3210517
15Wisla Plock4112384

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock?
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Wisla Plock.
Where and when is Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock played?
Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lech Poznan and Wisla Plock

Ready to know everything about football?