Widzew Łódź vs Jagiellonia: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź, Łódź
The Footlab model makes Widzew Łódź the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Jagiellonia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Jagiellonia?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Widzew Łódź (1,970) and Jagiellonia (2,060).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Widzew Łódź have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Jagiellonia have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Korona Kielce(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisla Plock(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Motor Lublin(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Widzew Łódź win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Jagiellonia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jagiellonia 0-2 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Widzew Łódź 1-3 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Jagiellonia 3-2 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Widzew Łódź 7-1 Jagiellonia | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Widzew Łódź 0-1 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Jagiellonia 1-0 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia vs Widzew Łódź on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Widzew Łódź | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Jagiellonia | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Widzew Łódź sit 9th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 5 matches) and Jagiellonia sit 10th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Widzew Łódź | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Widzew Łódź vs Jagiellonia?
- The Footlab model makes Widzew Łódź the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Jagiellonia.
- Where and when is Widzew Łódź vs Jagiellonia played?
- Widzew Łódź vs Jagiellonia is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Feb 6, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsRadomiak Radom
- Feb 6, 2027Wisla PlockvsWisla Krakow
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- Feb 6, 2027Piast GliwicevsLech Poznan
- Feb 6, 2027Cracovia KrakowvsSlask Wroclaw
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