Match

Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Warszawa

Legia WarszawaKorona Kielce

The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Korona Kielce. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?

Legia Warszawa starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (2,056 vs 1,943).

Legia Warszawa win55 %
Draw25 %
Korona Kielce win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Legia Warszawa have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Korona Kielce have 3, 8 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Legia Warszawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Piast Gliwice(away)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 14, 2026Radomiak Radom(home)5-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Korona Kielce(away)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026Zaglebie Lubin(home)3-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026Pogon Szczecin(away)1-0Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Motor Lublin(home)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Widzew Łódź(away)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Legia Warszawa(home)1-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026Jagiellonia(away)0-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 17, 2026Nieciecza(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Legia Warszawa win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Korona Kielce win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Korona Kielce 1-1 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
Feb 1, 2026Legia Warszawa 1-2 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
Jul 27, 2025Korona Kielce 0-2 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
Feb 2, 2025Legia Warszawa 1-1 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
Jul 28, 2024Korona Kielce 0-1 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
Feb 25, 2024Korona Kielce 3-3 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Legia Warszawa1.90.777/157/15
Korona Kielce0.90.947/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Legia Warszawa sit 1st in Ekstraklasa (11 points from 5 matches) and Korona Kielce sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Legia Warszawa532011311
11Korona Kielce4121445

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?
The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Korona Kielce.
Where and when is Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce played?
Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Legia Warszawa and Korona Kielce

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