Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Warszawa
The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Korona Kielce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?
Legia Warszawa starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (2,056 vs 1,943).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Legia Warszawa have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Korona Kielce have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Legia Warszawa win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Korona Kielce win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korona Kielce 1-1 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Legia Warszawa 1-2 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Korona Kielce 0-2 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Legia Warszawa 1-1 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Korona Kielce 0-1 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Korona Kielce 3-3 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warszawa | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Korona Kielce | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Legia Warszawa sit 1st in Ekstraklasa (11 points from 5 matches) and Korona Kielce sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?
- The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Korona Kielce.
- Where and when is Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce played?
- Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 6, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsRadomiak Radom
- Feb 6, 2027Wisla PlockvsWisla Krakow
- Feb 6, 2027Zaglebie LubinvsRaków Częstochowa
- Feb 6, 2027Piast GliwicevsLech Poznan
- Feb 6, 2027Cracovia KrakowvsSlask Wroclaw
- Feb 6, 2027Widzew ŁódźvsJagiellonia
- Feb 6, 2027Motor LublinvsPogon Szczecin
- Feb 6, 2027Wieczysta KrakówvsGKS Katowice