Match

Zaglebie Lubin vs Raków Częstochowa: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin

Zaglebie LubinRaków Częstochowa

The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Raków Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Raków Częstochowa?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Zaglebie Lubin (1,952) and Raków Częstochowa (2,034).

Zaglebie Lubin win39 %
Draw26 %
Raków Częstochowa win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Lubin have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Raków Częstochowa have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zaglebie Lubin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Radomiak Radom(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Slask Wroclaw(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026Legia Warszawa(away)1-3Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026Piast Gliwice(home)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Raków Częstochowa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026HNK Hajduk Split(away)2-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026Hammarby FF(away)1-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026Hammarby FF(home)0-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)1-2Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Zaglebie Lubin win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Raków Częstochowa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Zaglebie Lubin 0-0 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
Dec 14, 2025Raków Częstochowa 0-1 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
Mar 31, 2025Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
Sep 22, 2024Raków Częstochowa 5-1 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
May 4, 2024Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
Nov 5, 2023Raków Częstochowa 5-0 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Lubin vs Raków Częstochowa on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zaglebie Lubin1.30.974/156/15
Raków Częstochowa1.71.359/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Raków Częstochowa sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Zaglebie Lubin4211547
18Raków Częstochowa3003360

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Lubin vs Raków Częstochowa?
The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Raków Częstochowa.
Where and when is Zaglebie Lubin vs Raków Częstochowa played?
Zaglebie Lubin vs Raków Częstochowa is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Zaglebie Lubin and Raków Częstochowa

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