Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Pogon Szczecin played?

Motor Lublin vs Pogon Szczecin is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Motor Lublin vs Pogon Szczecin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

Motor Lublin

Pogon Szczecin

The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Pogon Szczecin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Motor Lublin vs Pogon Szczecin?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Motor Lublin (1,934) and Pogon Szczecin (1,993).

Motor Lublin win44 %

Draw26 %

Pogon Szczecin win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motor Lublin have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Pogon Szczecin have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Motor Lublin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Korona Kielce(away)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026	GKS Katowice(home)	1-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Pogon Szczecin(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026	Jagiellonia(home)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026	Widzew Łódź(away)	2-2	Ekstraklasa

Pogon Szczecin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	2-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Motor Lublin(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 15, 2026	Sturm Graz(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Motor Lublin win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Pogon Szczecin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Pogon Szczecin 3-1 Motor Lublin	Ekstraklasa
Feb 1, 2026	Motor Lublin 2-1 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2025	Pogon Szczecin 4-1 Motor Lublin	Ekstraklasa
May 14, 2025	Pogon Szczecin 3-0 Motor Lublin	Ekstraklasa
Nov 2, 2024	Motor Lublin 4-2 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Motor Lublin	1.4	1.6	3	9/15	8/15
Pogon Szczecin	1.4	1.3	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Motor Lublin sit 13th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Pogon Szczecin sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	1	1	7	4	7
13	Motor Lublin	5	1	2	2	6	8	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Motor Lublin vs Pogon Szczecin?: The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Pogon Szczecin.
Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Pogon Szczecin played?: Motor Lublin vs Pogon Szczecin is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.