Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice played?

Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC)Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

Motor Lublin

Piast Gliwice

The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Piast Gliwice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Motor Lublin (1,930) and Piast Gliwice (1,913).

Motor Lublin win45 %

Draw25 %

Piast Gliwice win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motor Lublin have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Piast Gliwice have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Motor Lublin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Korona Kielce(away)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026	GKS Katowice(home)	1-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Pogon Szczecin(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026	Jagiellonia(home)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026	Widzew Łódź(away)	2-2	Ekstraklasa

Piast Gliwice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Wieczysta Kraków(home)	3-4	Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026	Lech Poznan(away)	0-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	4-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026	Zaglebie Lubin(away)	0-2	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Motor Lublin win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Piast Gliwice win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 20, 2026	Piast Gliwice 1-2 Motor Lublin	Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2025	Motor Lublin 0-0 Piast Gliwice	Ekstraklasa
May 9, 2025	Motor Lublin 1-4 Piast Gliwice	Ekstraklasa
Nov 8, 2024	Piast Gliwice 2-3 Motor Lublin	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin on Feb 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Motor Lublin	1.4	1.6	3	9/15	8/15
Piast Gliwice	1.4	1.6	4	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Motor Lublin sit 12th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Piast Gliwice sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Motor Lublin	5	1	2	2	6	8	5
14	Piast Gliwice	5	1	1	3	8	13	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice?: The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Piast Gliwice.
Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice played?: Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.