Pierikos vs Ermis Exochi: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 20Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Katerinis, Katerini
The Footlab model makes Pierikos the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ermis Exochi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pierikos vs Ermis Exochi?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Pierikos (1,522) and Ermis Exochi (1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pierikos have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Ermis Exochi have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Veria(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Alexandreia(home) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(away) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ermis Exochi(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Alexandreia(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Veria(home) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Pierikos(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(away) | 2-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Pierikos win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ermis Exochi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ermis Exochi 1-0 Pierikos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Ermis Exochi 3-1 Pierikos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Pierikos 1-0 Ermis Exochi | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Ermis Exochi vs Pierikos on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pierikos score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ermis Exochi score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierikos | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Ermis Exochi | 1.4 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pierikos vs Ermis Exochi?
- The Footlab model makes Pierikos the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ermis Exochi.
- Where and when is Pierikos vs Ermis Exochi played?
- Pierikos vs Ermis Exochi is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Katerinis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.