Pierikos vs Ermis Exochi: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 20Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Katerinis, Katerini
The Footlab AI model makes Pierikos the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ermis Exochi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pierikos wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,526 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pierikos vs Ermis Exochi?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Pierikos (1,596) and Ermis Exochi (1,615).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pierikos vs Ermis Exochi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pierikos
4-3-3- 10K. Chartsias
- 33V. Papadopoulos
- 30A. Kanoulas
- 5G. Krimitzas
- 26A. Dinas
- 77A. Fokaidis
- 3A. Panteliadis
- 22T. Gialamidis
- 18C. Koukolis
- 2S. Topalidis
- 19G. Galanis
Ermis Exochi
Not enough data to predict the Ermis Exochi lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pierikos have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Ermis Exochi have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sarakinos(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Iraklis Larissa(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Veria(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Alexandreia(home) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(away) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Feraios(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Elassona(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Anthoupoli(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Alexandreia(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Pierikos win, 0 draws, 2 Ermis Exochi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ermis Exochi 1-0 Pierikos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Ermis Exochi 3-1 Pierikos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Pierikos 1-0 Ermis Exochi | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Ermis Exochi vs Pierikos on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pierikos score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ermis Exochi score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierikos | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Ermis Exochi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pierikos sit 5th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (3 points from 2 matches) and Ermis Exochi sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ermis Exochi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Pierikos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
A question about Pierikos vs Ermis Exochi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pierikos vs Ermis Exochi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pierikos the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ermis Exochi.
- Where and when is Pierikos vs Ermis Exochi played?
- Pierikos vs Ermis Exochi is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Katerinis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.