Platense FC vs Atletico Independiente: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalApertura - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Excelsior, Puerto Cortés
The Footlab model makes Platense FC the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Atletico Independiente. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Platense FC vs Atletico Independiente?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Platense FC (1,517) and Atletico Independiente (1,536).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Platense FC have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Atletico Independiente have 1, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atlético Choloma(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Génesis(away) | 0-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CD Marathon(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Espana(home) | 0-3 | Liga Nacional |
| May 1, 2026 | CD Olimpia(away) | 0-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Génesis(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Real Espana(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Atlético Choloma(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 4, 2026 | CD Marathon(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
How many goals should we expect?
Platense FC score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Independiente score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platense FC | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Atletico Independiente | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 3/4 | 1/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Platense FC sit 11th in Liga Nacional (1 points from 4 matches) and Atletico Independiente sit 8th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Atletico Independiente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Platense FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Platense FC vs Atletico Independiente?
- The Footlab model makes Platense FC the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Atletico Independiente.
- Where and when is Platense FC vs Atletico Independiente played?
- Platense FC vs Atletico Independiente is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:15 PM (UTC) at Estadio Excelsior, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.