Where and when is Lanzarote vs Playas Sotavento played?

Lanzarote vs Playas Sotavento is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lanzarote vs Playas Sotavento: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, Tías

Lanzarote

Playas Sotavento

The Footlab model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Playas Sotavento. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lanzarote vs Playas Sotavento?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Lanzarote (1,782) and Playas Sotavento (1,745).

Lanzarote win50 %

Draw27 %

Playas Sotavento win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lanzarote have 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats; Playas Sotavento have 0, 1 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lanzarote
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Real Unión de Tenerife(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	San Bartolomé(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Tamaraceite(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 19, 2026	UD San Fernando(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026	Herbania(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Playas Sotavento
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Oct 9, 2024	Gévora(away)	1-1	Copa del Rey

How many goals should we expect?

Lanzarote score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Playas Sotavento score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lanzarote	0.8	1.0	4	8/15	3/15
Playas Sotavento	1.0	1.0	0	1/1	0/1

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Lanzarote	34	12	12	10	45	36	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lanzarote vs Playas Sotavento?: The Footlab model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Playas Sotavento.
Where and when is Lanzarote vs Playas Sotavento played?: Lanzarote vs Playas Sotavento is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.