Lanzarote vs Playas Sotavento: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, Tías
The Footlab AI model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Playas Sotavento. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,855 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lanzarote vs Playas Sotavento?
On Elo ratings, Lanzarote has 1,774 points and Playas Sotavento 1,695.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lanzarote vs Playas Sotavento
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lanzarote
Not enough data to predict the Lanzarote lineup.
Playas Sotavento
Not enough data to predict the Playas Sotavento lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 03:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lanzarote have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Playas Sotavento have 0, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Las Palmas III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Bartolomé(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Marino(away) | 1-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Los Llanos(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lanzarote score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Playas Sotavento score 0.7 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanzarote | 0.9 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 3/15 |
| Playas Sotavento | 0.7 | 2.9 | 0 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lanzarote sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (6 points from 6 matches) and Playas Sotavento sit 18th (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lanzarote | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 18 | Playas Sotavento | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 2 |
A question about Lanzarote vs Playas Sotavento?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lanzarote vs Playas Sotavento?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Playas Sotavento.
- Where and when is Lanzarote vs Playas Sotavento played?
- Lanzarote vs Playas Sotavento is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Francisco Bermúdez Hernández, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 28, 2027MensajerovsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Mar 28, 2027Villa Santa BrígidavsLaguna de Duero
- Mar 28, 2027EstrellavsUnión Sur Yaiza
- Mar 28, 2027San BartolomévsPanadería Pulido
- Mar 28, 2027Tenerife CvsMarino
- Mar 28, 2027San MiguelvsSan Fernando CD
- Mar 28, 2027AnazavsLos Llanos
- Mar 28, 2027Villaverde NortevsLas Palmas III