Estrella vs Unión Sur Yaiza: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Palmitas, Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Estrella the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Unión Sur Yaiza. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estrella wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,247 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estrella vs Unión Sur Yaiza?
On Elo ratings, Estrella has 1,627 points and Unión Sur Yaiza 1,749.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estrella vs Unión Sur Yaiza
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estrella
4-3-3- AAdrián Socorro
- MMarco
- AAlejo
- KKevin Suárez
- VVictor Jesús Lorenzo Lorenzo
- FFede Manzi
- JJaime
- FFran Ramírez
- IIan Bolaños Gracia
- AAythami Artiles Oliva
- AArturo Caballero
Unión Sur Yaiza
Not enough data to predict the Unión Sur Yaiza lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 09:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrella have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Unión Sur Yaiza have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marino(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Los Llanos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marino(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Estrella wins, 1 draw, 1 Unión Sur Yaiza win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | Unión Sur Yaiza 2-1 Estrella | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Estrella 2-2 Unión Sur Yaiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Unión Sur Yaiza vs Estrella on Mar 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Estrella score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Sur Yaiza score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrella | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Unión Sur Yaiza | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrella sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (7 points from 8 matches) and Unión Sur Yaiza sit 7th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Unión Sur Yaiza | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 14 | Estrella | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 7 |
A question about Estrella vs Unión Sur Yaiza?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estrella vs Unión Sur Yaiza?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estrella the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Unión Sur Yaiza.
- Where and when is Estrella vs Unión Sur Yaiza played?
- Estrella vs Unión Sur Yaiza is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Palmitas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 28, 2027MensajerovsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Mar 28, 2027LanzarotevsPlayas Sotavento
- Mar 28, 2027Villa Santa BrígidavsLaguna de Duero
- Mar 28, 2027San BartolomévsPanadería Pulido
- Mar 28, 2027Tenerife CvsMarino
- Mar 28, 2027San MiguelvsSan Fernando CD
- Mar 28, 2027AnazavsLos Llanos
- Mar 28, 2027Villaverde NortevsLas Palmas III