Berkhamsted vs Hanworth Villa: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Broadwater, Berkhamsted, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Hanworth Villa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berkhamsted vs Hanworth Villa?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Berkhamsted (1,818) and Hanworth Villa (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berkhamsted have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Hanworth Villa have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Kingstonian(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Berkhamsted win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hanworth Villa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2015 | Berkhamsted 3-2 Hanworth Villa | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Berkhamsted vs Hanworth Villa on Aug 15, 2015
How many goals should we expect?
Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hanworth Villa score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkhamsted | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hanworth Villa | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Berkhamsted sit 20th in Non League Premier - Southern South (3 points from 4 matches) and Hanworth Villa sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 20 | Berkhamsted | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berkhamsted vs Hanworth Villa?
- The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Hanworth Villa.
- Where and when is Berkhamsted vs Hanworth Villa played?
- Berkhamsted vs Hanworth Villa is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Broadwater, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 22, 2026Taunton TownvsBath City
- Sep 22, 2026Basingstoke TownvsGosport Borough
- Sep 22, 2026Bracknell TownvsHavant & Wville
- Sep 22, 2026Chichester CityvsChertsey Town
- Sep 22, 2026Hanwell TownvsUxbridge
- Sep 22, 2026Poole TownvsWimborne Town
- Sep 22, 2026Yate TownvsEvesham United
- Sep 22, 2026Chippenham TownvsSholing