Match

Taunton Town vs Bath City: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Cygnet Health Care Stadium, Taunton, Somerset

Taunton TownBath City

The Footlab model makes Taunton Town the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Taunton Town vs Bath City?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Taunton Town (1,772) and Bath City (1,690).

Taunton Town win55 %
Draw22 %
Bath City win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Taunton Town have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Bath City have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Taunton Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Uxbridge(away)4-5Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Berkhamsted(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Malvern Town(home)5-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Hanworth Villa(away)0-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 21, 2026Weston-super-Mare(home)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Bath City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Basingstoke Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Hanworth Villa(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Plymouth Parkway(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Sholing(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Farnborough(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Taunton Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Bath City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 8, 2025Taunton Town 1-0 Bath CityFriendlies Clubs
Apr 1, 2024Taunton Town 0-2 Bath CityNational League - South
Oct 24, 2023Bath City 3-0 Taunton TownNational League - South
Apr 7, 2023Bath City 0-2 Taunton TownNational League - South
Sep 27, 2022Taunton Town 1-1 Bath CityNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Taunton Town vs Bath City on Jul 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Taunton Town score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bath City score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Taunton Town1.91.758/1510/15
Bath City1.31.929/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Taunton Town sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Bath City sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Bath City4211437
8Taunton Town420211106

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Taunton Town vs Bath City?
The Footlab model makes Taunton Town the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Bath City.
Where and when is Taunton Town vs Bath City played?
Taunton Town vs Bath City is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Cygnet Health Care Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Taunton Town and Bath City

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