Taunton Town vs Bath City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Cygnet Health Care Stadium, Taunton, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Taunton Town the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Taunton Town vs Bath City?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Taunton Town (1,772) and Bath City (1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Taunton Town have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Bath City have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 4-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Malvern Town(home) | 5-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Taunton Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Bath City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2025 | Taunton Town 1-0 Bath City | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Taunton Town 0-2 Bath City | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Bath City 3-0 Taunton Town | National League - South |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Bath City 0-2 Taunton Town | National League - South |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Taunton Town 1-1 Bath City | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Taunton Town vs Bath City on Jul 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Taunton Town score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bath City score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taunton Town | 1.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Bath City | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Taunton Town sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Bath City sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bath City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Taunton Town vs Bath City?
- The Footlab model makes Taunton Town the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Bath City.
- Where and when is Taunton Town vs Bath City played?
- Taunton Town vs Bath City is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Cygnet Health Care Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 22, 2026BerkhamstedvsHanworth Villa
- Sep 22, 2026Basingstoke TownvsGosport Borough
- Sep 22, 2026Bracknell TownvsHavant & Wville
- Sep 22, 2026Chichester CityvsChertsey Town
- Sep 22, 2026Hanwell TownvsUxbridge
- Sep 22, 2026Poole TownvsWimborne Town
- Sep 22, 2026Yate TownvsEvesham United
- Sep 22, 2026Chippenham TownvsSholing