Match

Chichester City vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Oaklands Park, Chichester, West Sussex

Chichester CityChertsey Town

The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Chichester City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chichester City vs Chertsey Town?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Chichester City (1,758) and Chertsey Town (1,843).

Chichester City win37 %
Draw25 %
Chertsey Town win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chichester City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Chertsey Town have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chichester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chippenham Town(home)4-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Evesham United(away)0-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Wimborne Town(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Poole Town(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Bognor Regis Town(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Chertsey Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sholing(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Yate Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Berkhamsted(home)4-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Gloucester City(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Westfield (Surrey)(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Chichester City score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chichester City1.51.5310/1510/15
Chertsey Town1.91.349/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chichester City sit 9th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chertsey Town431010410
9Chichester City4202656

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chichester City vs Chertsey Town?
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Chichester City.
Where and when is Chichester City vs Chertsey Town played?
Chichester City vs Chertsey Town is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Oaklands Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chichester City and Chertsey Town

Ready to know everything about football?