Plzen vs Levski Sofia: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Doosan Aréna, Plzeň
The Footlab AI model makes Plzen the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Levski Sofia. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,258 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plzen vs Levski Sofia?
Plzen starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (2,124 vs 1,982).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Plzen vs Levski Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Plzen
4-2-3-1- 25C. Kabongo
- 17P. Hrošovský
- 99A. Memić
- 12A. Sojka
- 36S. PirgiÄ
- 19C. Souaré
- 14Merchas Doski
- 40S. Dweh
- 98F. Prebsl
- 29A. Gabriel
- 44F. Wiegele
Levski Sofia
4-2-3-1- 7Reinaldo
- 35Serginho
- 18G. Trdin
- 17Everton Bala
- 20Álex Centelles
- 19E. El Moubarik
- 4C. Makoun
- 3Maicon
- 21Aldair
- 50K. Dimitrov
- 92S. Vutsov
Computed on October 12, 2026 at 05:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plzen have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Levski Sofia have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 3-0 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(home) | 2-3 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 0-0 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 2-4 | Super Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-0 | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Plzen score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Levski Sofia score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plzen | 2.0 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Levski Sofia | 1.7 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plzen sit 34th in UEFA Europa League (0 points from 1 match) and Levski Sofia sit 27th (0 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 34 | Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
A question about Plzen vs Levski Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plzen vs Levski Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Plzen the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Levski Sofia.
- Where and when is Plzen vs Levski Sofia played?
- Plzen vs Levski Sofia is played on October 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Doosan Aréna, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.