Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Septemvri Sofia. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,267 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Sofia?
Levski Sofia is a heavy favourite: 1,990 Elo points against 1,627, a 363-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Septemvri Sofia
4-2-3-1- 29F. Herard
- 5Y. Baurenski
- 6Pedro Ferreira
- 8B. Penchev
- 33G. Ivanov
- 13K. Önaşçı
- 4M. Hristov
- 26V. Ozornwafor
- 15P. Gospodinov
- 3Sebastian Wade
- 12V. Ivanov
Levski Sofia
4-3-3- 7Reinaldo
- 17Everton Bala
- 3Maicon
- 35Serginho
- 18G. Trdin
- 19E. El Moubarik
- 4C. Makoun
- 71O. Kamdem
- 20Álex Centelles
- 21Aldair
- 1O. Vladimirov
Computed on October 12, 2026 at 09:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Sofia have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Levski Sofia have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 2-4 | Super Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Septemvri Sofia win, 0 draws, 5 Levski Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Levski Sofia 3-0 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Levski Sofia 7-0 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia 1-2 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Septemvri Sofia 0-1 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Levski Sofia 2-3 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Levski Sofia 5-0 Septemvri Sofia | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Septemvri Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Levski Sofia score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Levski Sofia | 1.7 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Septemvri Sofia sit 13th in First League (8 points from 11 matches) and Levski Sofia sit 1st (28 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 28 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Septemvri Sofia.
- Where and when is Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Sofia played?
- Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Sofia is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dragalevtsi, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.