Nieciecza vs Podbeskidzie: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, Nieciecza
The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Nieciecza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nieciecza vs Podbeskidzie?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Nieciecza (1,871) and Podbeskidzie (1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nieciecza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Podbeskidzie have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 1-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 3-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nieciecza win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Podbeskidzie win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nieciecza 1-1 Podbeskidzie | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Podbeskidzie 2-1 Nieciecza | I Liga |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Nieciecza 2-2 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Podbeskidzie 2-2 Nieciecza | I Liga |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Nieciecza 2-2 Podbeskidzie | I Liga |
| Jun 6, 2020 | Podbeskidzie 1-0 Nieciecza | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Nieciecza vs Podbeskidzie on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nieciecza | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Podbeskidzie | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nieciecza sit 11th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Podbeskidzie sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nieciecza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nieciecza vs Podbeskidzie?
- The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Nieciecza.
- Where and when is Nieciecza vs Podbeskidzie played?
- Nieciecza vs Podbeskidzie is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sportowy Bruk-Bet Termalica, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027Arka GdyniavsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- May 15, 2027Odra OpolevsLechia Gdansk
- May 15, 2027Puszcza NiepołomicevsChrobry Głogów
- May 15, 2027Stal MielecvsPolonia Warszawa
- May 15, 2027Warta PoznańvsRuch Chorzów
- May 15, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsMiedz Legnica
- May 15, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsUnia Skierniewice
- May 15, 2027Polonia BytomvsStal Rzeszów