Poland U17 vs Montenegro U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Narodowy, Warszawa
The Footlab model makes Poland U17 the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Montenegro U17. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poland U17 vs Montenegro U17?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Poland U17 (1,564) and Montenegro U17 (1,490).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poland U17 have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Montenegro U17 have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Croatia U17(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Slovakia U17(away) | 4-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Republic of Ireland U17(away) | 0-3 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Sweden U17(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Scotland U17(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | France U17(away) | 0-5 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 29, 2026 | Italy U17(home) | 0-3 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| May 26, 2026 | Denmark U17(home) | 1-2 | UEFA U17 Championship |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Sweden U17(home) | 0-5 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Norway U17(home) | 4-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Poland U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Montenegro U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | Montenegro U17 2-0 Poland U17 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Montenegro U17 vs Poland U17 on Oct 20, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Poland U17 score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Montenegro U17 score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poland U17 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Montenegro U17 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poland U17 sit 3rd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (4 points from 3 matches) and Montenegro U17 sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro U17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Poland U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poland U17 vs Montenegro U17?
- The Footlab model makes Poland U17 the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Montenegro U17.
- Where and when is Poland U17 vs Montenegro U17 played?
- Poland U17 vs Montenegro U17 is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Narodowy, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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