Police vs 3K: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stade Dr Issoufou Joseph Conombo, Ouagadougou
The Footlab AI model makes Police the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for 3K. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Police vs 3K?
Police starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,600 vs 1,486).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Police vs 3K
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Police
Not enough data to predict the Police lineup.
3K
Not enough data to predict the 3K lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeat; 3K have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Migori Youth(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-2 | Shield Cup |
| May 31, 2026 | Homeboyz(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Nairobi United(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mara Sugar(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Migori Youth(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Talanta(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| May 27, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 23, 2026 | Equity Bank(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 1.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; 3K score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 1.0 | 0.5 | 8 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| 3K | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police sit 8th in FKF Premier League (1 point from 1 match) and 3K sit 7th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3K | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
A question about Police vs 3K?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Police vs 3K?
- The Footlab AI model makes Police the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for 3K.
- Where and when is Police vs 3K played?
- Police vs 3K is played on December 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Dr Issoufou Joseph Conombo, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.