Homeboyz vs APS Bomet: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bukhungu Stadium, Kakamega
The Footlab model makes APS Bomet the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Homeboyz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Homeboyz vs APS Bomet?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Homeboyz (1,531) and APS Bomet (1,519).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Homeboyz have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; APS Bomet have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Police(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Bandari(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | KCB(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Homeboyz win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 APS Bomet win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | Homeboyz 2-1 APS Bomet | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2025 | APS Bomet 1-2 Homeboyz | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Homeboyz score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; APS Bomet score 1.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Homeboyz | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| APS Bomet | 1.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Homeboyz sit 6th in FKF Premier League (49 points from 34 matches) and APS Bomet sit 10th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 49 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 35 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Homeboyz vs APS Bomet?
- The Footlab model makes APS Bomet the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Homeboyz.
- Where and when is Homeboyz vs APS Bomet played?
- Homeboyz vs APS Bomet is played on December 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bukhungu Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.