Polisi Tanzania vs Dodoma Jiji: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jamhuri Stadium Morogoro, Morogoro
The Footlab model makes Polisi Tanzania the favourite at 59%, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Dodoma Jiji. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polisi Tanzania vs Dodoma Jiji?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Polisi Tanzania (1,490) and Dodoma Jiji (1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polisi Tanzania have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Dodoma Jiji have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Azam(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Tanzania Prisons(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 9, 2023 | Azam(away) | 0-8 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Azam(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Mbeya City(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Polisi Tanzania win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Dodoma Jiji win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji 0-1 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Dodoma Jiji 2-1 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 1, 2022 | Polisi Tanzania 1-1 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 11, 2022 | Polisi Tanzania 0-0 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 17, 2021 | Dodoma Jiji 1-1 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 22, 2021 | Dodoma Jiji 2-2 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Dodoma Jiji vs Polisi Tanzania on Aug 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polisi Tanzania score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dodoma Jiji score 0.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polisi Tanzania | 1.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Dodoma Jiji | 0.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polisi Tanzania sit 3rd in Ligi kuu Bara (7 points from 3 matches) and Dodoma Jiji sit 13th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Polisi Tanzania | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 13 | Dodoma Jiji | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polisi Tanzania vs Dodoma Jiji?
- The Footlab model makes Polisi Tanzania the favourite at 59%, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Dodoma Jiji.
- Where and when is Polisi Tanzania vs Dodoma Jiji played?
- Polisi Tanzania vs Dodoma Jiji is played on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jamhuri Stadium Morogoro, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.