Azam vs Coastal Union: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Azam Complex Stadium, Mbagala
The Footlab AI model makes Azam the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Coastal Union. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,541 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Azam vs Coastal Union?
Azam starts as the favourite with a 255-point Elo edge (1,857 vs 1,603).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Azam vs Coastal Union
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Azam
4-3-3- 19G. Sillah
- 11Naldo
- 20H. Molia
- 23H. Mao
- 6F. Salum
- 4Donovan Stephane Makoma
- 5L. Mwaikenda
- 2N. Idumba
- 12P. Msindo
- 13T. Abdulrafiu
- 28A. Manula
Coastal Union
4-3-3- 25S. Kichuya
- 9M. M. Maabad
- 36M. Andrea
- 16G. Manyasi
- 8K. Gradi
- 34S. Mwanza
- 26R. Aidan
- 5A. A. Msangi
- 2A. William
- 4A. Laurent
- 18C. Ramadhani
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Azam have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Coastal Union have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Masr(away) | 1-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Simba(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Namungo(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Simba(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Azam wins, 2 draws, 0 Coastal Union wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Coastal Union 0-2 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Coastal Union 0-2 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Azam 3-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Coastal Union 0-0 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Azam 1-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Azam 1-1 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
How many goals should we expect?
Azam score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Coastal Union score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azam | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Coastal Union | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Azam sit 3rd in Ligi kuu Bara (17 points from 8 matches) and Coastal Union sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
A question about Azam vs Coastal Union?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Azam vs Coastal Union?
- The Footlab AI model makes Azam the favourite at 74%, against 18% for a draw and 8% for Coastal Union.
- Where and when is Azam vs Coastal Union played?
- Azam vs Coastal Union is played on February 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Azam Complex Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.