Pamba Jiji vs Mbeya City: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 12, 2027 at 01:15 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Pamba Jiji the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Mbeya City. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,118 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pamba Jiji vs Mbeya City?
On Elo ratings, Pamba Jiji has 1,546 points and Mbeya City 1,542.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pamba Jiji vs Mbeya City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pamba Jiji
4-3-3- 21S. Karabaka
- 20S. Oyugi Siwa
- 37D. Richard
- 26J. Ochieng
- 42I. Diomande
- 40F. Kundo
- 25Abdalla Salum Kheri
- 2A. Machupa
- 32A. Said
- 3I. Abraham
- 18E. Johola
Mbeya City
4-3-3- 22V. Mayanga
- 10E. Ambokile
- 49O. Mwajanga
- 20H. Haji
- 32O. Abdallah
- 21J. Mwanuke
- 14Nassor Mbarouk
- 4K. Pillar
- 26A. Buha
- 60B. Maranyingi
- 31T. Reuben
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 11:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pamba Jiji have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Mbeya City have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 4-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 5, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Pamba Jiji wins, 1 draw, 1 Mbeya City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | Pamba Jiji 0-2 Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Mbeya City 1-1 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Pamba Jiji vs Mbeya City on Jun 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pamba Jiji score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mbeya City score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pamba Jiji | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Mbeya City | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pamba Jiji sit 15th in Ligi kuu Bara (5 points from 8 matches) and Mbeya City sit 9th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mbeya City | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 15 | Pamba Jiji | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Pamba Jiji vs Mbeya City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pamba Jiji vs Mbeya City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pamba Jiji the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Mbeya City.
- Where and when is Pamba Jiji vs Mbeya City played?
- Pamba Jiji vs Mbeya City is played on February 12, 2027 at 01:15 PM (UTC), in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.