Simba vs JKT Tanzania: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam
The Footlab model makes Simba the favourite at 77%, against 17% for a draw and 5% for JKT Tanzania. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Simba vs JKT Tanzania?
Simba is a heavy favourite: 1,922 Elo points against 1,552 — a 370-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Simba have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; JKT Tanzania have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Jamus(away) | 0-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 0-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Simba win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 JKT Tanzania win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Simba 1-0 JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 8, 2025 | JKT Tanzania 1-2 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 5, 2025 | JKT Tanzania 0-1 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 24, 2024 | Simba 1-0 JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 28, 2024 | Simba 2-0 JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 15, 2024 | JKT Tanzania 0-1 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
How many goals should we expect?
Simba score 1.8 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; JKT Tanzania score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simba | 1.8 | 0.3 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| JKT Tanzania | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Simba sit 2nd in Ligi kuu Bara (9 points from 3 matches) and JKT Tanzania sit 16th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Simba | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 16 | JKT Tanzania | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Simba vs JKT Tanzania?
- The Footlab model makes Simba the favourite at 77%, against 17% for a draw and 5% for JKT Tanzania.
- Where and when is Simba vs JKT Tanzania played?
- Simba vs JKT Tanzania is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KMC Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.