Where and when is Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki played?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.

Lechia T. Mazowiecki

The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Polonia Lidzbark Warm. (1,666) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki (1,758).

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win32 %

Draw22 %

Lechia T. Mazowiecki win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Widzew II(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Wisła Płock II(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Olimpia Elbląg(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Swit(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	ŁKS Łódź II(home)	4-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Mławianka Mława(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Łomża(home)	5-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Wisła Płock II(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Weszlo(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 24, 2024	Lechia T. Mazowiecki 3-1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 3, 2024	Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 2-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Polonia Lidzbark Warm. on Nov 24, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	1.2	1.8	3	10/15	9/15
Lechia T. Mazowiecki	2.0	1.9	2	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. sit 16th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	5	3	0	2	14	11	9
16	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	5	0	1	4	7	14	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?: The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm..
Where and when is Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki played?: Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.