Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Elbląg
The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża?
Łomża starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Elbląg have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Łomża have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Olimpia Elbląg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Łomża win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg 0-3 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Łomża 3-0 Olimpia Elbląg | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Olimpia Elbląg 1-1 Łomża | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Olimpia Elbląg 2-0 Łomża | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Elbląg | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Łomża | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Łomża sit 15th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Olimpia Elbląg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | Łomża | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża?
- The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Olimpia Elbląg.
- Where and when is Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża played?
- Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsWeszlo
- Apr 24, 2027SwitvsMławianka Mława
- Apr 24, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsWigry Suwałki
- Apr 24, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Apr 24, 2027TroszynvsJagiellonia II
- Apr 24, 2027Widzew IIvsPelikan Łowicz
- Apr 24, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsŁKS Łódź II
- Apr 24, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsWarta Sieradz