Match

Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Elbląg

Olimpia ElblągŁomża

The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża?

Łomża starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,637).

Olimpia Elbląg win23 %
Draw22 %
Łomża win55 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Elbląg have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Łomża have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Olimpia Elbląg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)2-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Widzew II(home)0-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Olimpia Zambrów(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home)4-2III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Wisła Płock II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Łomża
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Mławianka Mława(home)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Wisła Płock II(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away)2-5III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Weszlo(home)0-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(away)2-3III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Olimpia Elbląg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Łomża win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Olimpia Elbląg 0-3 ŁomżaIII Liga - Group 1
Sep 6, 2025Łomża 3-0 Olimpia ElblągIII Liga - Group 1
Jul 6, 2024Olimpia Elbląg 1-1 ŁomżaFriendlies Clubs
Jan 20, 2024Olimpia Elbląg 2-0 ŁomżaFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Olimpia Elbląg1.11.9111/1510/15
Łomża1.71.358/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Łomża sit 15th (2 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Olimpia Elbląg5212997
15Łomża50235102

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża?
The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Olimpia Elbląg.
Where and when is Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża played?
Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Olimpia Elbląg and Łomża

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