Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Elbląg
The Footlab AI model makes Łomża the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Łomża wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Olimpia Elbląg (1,628) and Łomża (1,696).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Olimpia Elbląg
Not enough data to predict the Olimpia Elbląg lineup.
Łomża
Not enough data to predict the Łomża lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 09:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Elbląg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Łomża have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Swit(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Olimpia Elbląg wins, 1 draw, 2 Łomża wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Łomża 0-2 Olimpia Elbląg | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg 0-3 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Łomża 3-0 Olimpia Elbląg | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Olimpia Elbląg 1-1 Łomża | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Olimpia Elbląg 2-0 Łomża | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Łomża vs Olimpia Elbląg on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpia Elbląg score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Łomża score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Elbląg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Łomża | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpia Elbląg sit 10th in III Liga - Group 1 (17 points from 13 matches) and Łomża sit 18th (3 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Olimpia Elbląg | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 17 |
| 18 | Łomża | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 3 |
A question about Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża?
- The Footlab AI model makes Łomża the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Olimpia Elbląg.
- Where and when is Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża played?
- Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsWeszlo
- Apr 24, 2027SwitvsMławianka Mława
- Apr 24, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsWigry Suwałki
- Apr 24, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Apr 24, 2027TroszynvsJagiellonia II
- Apr 24, 2027Widzew IIvsPelikan Łowicz
- Apr 24, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsŁKS Łódź II
- Apr 24, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsWarta Sieradz