Troszyn vs Jagiellonia II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn, Troszyn
The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Troszyn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Troszyn vs Jagiellonia II?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Troszyn (1,750) and Jagiellonia II (1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Troszyn have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Jagiellonia II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Troszyn win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Jagiellonia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Jagiellonia II 0-1 Troszyn | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Troszyn 1-1 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia II vs Troszyn on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troszyn | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Jagiellonia II | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Troszyn sit 17th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and Jagiellonia II sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jagiellonia II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Troszyn vs Jagiellonia II?
- The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Troszyn.
- Where and when is Troszyn vs Jagiellonia II played?
- Troszyn vs Jagiellonia II is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsŁomża
- Apr 24, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsWeszlo
- Apr 24, 2027SwitvsMławianka Mława
- Apr 24, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsWigry Suwałki
- Apr 24, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Apr 24, 2027Widzew IIvsPelikan Łowicz
- Apr 24, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsŁKS Łódź II
- Apr 24, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsWarta Sieradz