Match

Troszyn vs Jagiellonia II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn, Troszyn

TroszynJagiellonia II

The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Troszyn. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Troszyn vs Jagiellonia II?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Troszyn (1,750) and Jagiellonia II (1,775).

Troszyn win38 %
Draw24 %
Jagiellonia II win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Troszyn have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Jagiellonia II have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Troszyn
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Warta Sieradz(home)1-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Wigry Suwałki(away)0-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home)1-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026Widzew II(away)1-5III Liga - Group 1
Jagiellonia II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Weszlo(away)0-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(home)3-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Warta Sieradz(away)2-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Wigry Suwałki(home)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)3-2III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Troszyn win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Jagiellonia II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Jagiellonia II 0-1 TroszynIII Liga - Group 1
Oct 31, 2025Troszyn 1-1 Jagiellonia IIIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia II vs Troszyn on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Troszyn1.31.8210/158/15
Jagiellonia II1.61.739/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Troszyn sit 17th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and Jagiellonia II sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Jagiellonia II5221998
17Troszyn50144151

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Troszyn vs Jagiellonia II?
The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Troszyn.
Where and when is Troszyn vs Jagiellonia II played?
Troszyn vs Jagiellonia II is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Troszyn and Jagiellonia II

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